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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Weller
TSV 1860 Munich
T
0–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

TSV 1860 Munich Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
21 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
23 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
24 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

TSV 1860 Munich Holstein Kiel
Dennis Dressel 🟨
19′
20′
🟨 Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
34′
⚽ P. Harres 0–1
A. Kapralik
Half-time 0–1
55′
🔁 K. Davidsen
↦ J. Therkelsen
55′
🔁 G. de Regt
↦ F. Alidou
57′
🟨 John Tolkin
M. Gevorgyan 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
65′
R. Wach 🔁
↦ T. Deniz
65′
74′
🟨 Hiroki Sekine
A. Calderon 🔁
↦ J. Bell
77′
82′
🔁 L. Parduzi
↦ J. Tolkin
82′
🔁 M. Reimers
↦ A. Kapralik
87′
🟨 Kasper Davidsen
C. Leone 🔁
↦ E. Erdogan
88′
M. Seiffert 🔁
↦ F. Wagner
88′
90′
⚽ G. Balzi 0–2
M. Reimers
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

TSV 1860 Munich

4-2-3-1
30 V. Eicher G
2 J. Bell D
6 B. Hoppe
33 L. Fassmann D
47 L. Fiedler
10 T. Deniz M
14 D. Dressel M
9 F. Wagner
13 M. Eberwein M
19 E. Erdogan
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
1 P. Bachmann
4 F. Weber
17 C. Leone
24 M. Gevorgyan
8 R. Wach
5 M. Collins
21 M. Seiffert
12 A. Calderon
39 L. Estermann

Coach: Alper Kayabunar

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
41 L. Rothenhagen G
32 H. Sekine D
13 I. Nekic D
26 D. Zec D
47 J. Tolkin D
28 J. Meffert M
20 A. Kapralik M
8 G. Balzi M
10 J. Therkelsen M
17 F. Alidou M
19 P. Harres F
Bench (9)
1 T. Weiner
6 M. Ivezic
5 N. Madsen
3 N. Takahashi
40 L. Parduzi
15 K. Davidsen
27 I. Ugoh
11 G. de Regt
22 M. Reimers

Coach: Tim Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.