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NM-cupen
Bærum
T S T U T
4–0
Full-time
Mjondalen
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bærum Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +13 3
2 Sogndal 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Asker 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Træff 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Skeid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Pors Grenland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Strommen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Rana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Follo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 hodd 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Stalkam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Urædd 1 0 0 1 -3 0
21 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 Frøya 1 0 0 1 -6 0
23 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -7 0
24 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
25 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -8 0
26 Langevag 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.