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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Motor Lublin

T S U T U

1–2

Full-time

Jagiellonia

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Jagiellonia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,07 xG 0,88

46% Possession 54%

21 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 9. · Jagiellonia 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
2	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
3	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
4	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
6	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
8	Widzew Lodz	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
9	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
13	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
14	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
15	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
16	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
17	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0
18	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
2	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
3	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
4	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
5	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
8	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
10	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
2	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
3	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
4	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
5	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
6	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
7	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
8	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
9	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.