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Süper Lig
Referee: Fatih Tokail
0–1
Full-time
Kasimpasa
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Corum Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,11 xG 0,32
75% Possession 25%
16 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Corum 9. · Kasimpasa 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 2 1 1 0 +4 +4.9 4
2 Amedspor 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.3 3
3 Buyuksehyr 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.5 3
4 Genclerbirligi 1 1 0 0 +1 -1.7 3
5 Rizespor 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.9 3
6 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
7 Samsunspor 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.1 1
8 Goztep 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
9 Corum 1 0 1 0 +0 -2.3 1
10 Kasimpasa 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.0 1
11 Trabzonspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.0 1
12 Gaziantep 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.0 1
13 Alanyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.0 1
14 Fenerbahce 1 0 0 1 -1 +1.7 0
15 Konyaspor 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.9 0
16 Eyüpspor 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
17 Kocaelispor 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.5 0
18 Erzurumspor 2 0 0 2 -7 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Corum Kasimpasa
6′
Adrian Benedyczak 0–1
Cláudio Winck
39′
🟨 Jakob Jessen
Mohammed Diomande ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Ali Yavuz Kol
↦ Marcus Rafferty
Mame Thiam 🔁
↦ Serdar Gürler
59′
Emircan Gürlük 🔁
↦ Markus Karlsbakk
59′
59′
🔁 Ayberk Karapo
↦ Güven Yalçın
67′
🔁 Elson Mendes
↦ Andri Fannar Baldursson
Ahmed Ildız 🔁
↦ Fredy
68′
77′
🟨 Matei Ilie
Kenan Fakili 🔁
↦ Mohammed Diomande
78′
Berat Özdemir 🔁
↦ Ylber Ramadani
78′
85′
🔁 Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
↦ Adrian Benedyczak
85′
🔁 Emirhan Boz
↦ Cláudio Winck
89′
🟨 Ayberk Karapo
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,36
B ✓
2,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.