Süper Lig
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Corum
Kasimpasa
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Galatasaray
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +4.9 | 4 |
| 2 |
Amedspor
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +1.3 | 3 |
| 3 |
Buyuksehyr
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.5 | 3 |
| 4 |
Genclerbirligi
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -1.7 | 3 |
| 5 |
Rizespor
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.9 | 3 |
| 6 |
Besiktas
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Samsunspor
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +1.1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Goztep
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -1.1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Corum
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -2.3 | 1 |
| 10 |
Kasimpasa
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +1.0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Trabzonspor
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -1.0 | 1 |
| 12 |
Gaziantep
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Alanyaspor
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.0 | 1 |
| 14 |
Fenerbahce
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +1.7 | 0 |
| 15 |
Konyaspor
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.9 | 0 |
| 16 |
Eyüpspor
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Kocaelispor
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.5 | 0 |
| 18 |
Erzurumspor
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | -3.9 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.