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Ligue 1
Referee: Guillaume Paradis
Toulouse
T T U S S
0–2
Full-time
Lyon
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,77 xG 0,70
48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. May -26 Toulouse – Lyon 2–1 5. Oct -25 Lyon – Toulouse 1–2 18. Jan -25 Lyon – Toulouse 0–0 29. Sep -24 Toulouse – Lyon 1–2 15. Mar -24 Toulouse – Lyon 2–3

Match report

Toulouse Lyon
Niklas Schmidt 🟨
31′
45′
🟨 Noah Nartey
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 Pavel Šulc
↦ Rémi Himbert
63′
🔁 Malick Fofana
↦ Julien Duranville
68′
⚽ Noah Nartey 0–1
Pavel Šulc
69′
🔁 Tyler Morton
↦ Noah Nartey
69′
🔁 Corentin Tolisso
↦ Mathys de Carvalho
Jacen Russell Rowe 🔁
↦ Santiago Hidalgo
71′
Rafik Messali 🔁
↦ Ismail Diallo
71′
Ilyas Azizi 🔁
↦ Julian Vignolo
71′
Sion Oppong 🔁
↦ Yann Gboho
80′
80′
🔁 Tanner Tessmann
↦ Mads Bidstrup
85′
⚽ Malick Fofana 0–2
Corentin Tolisso
Mathis Saka 🔁
↦ Niklas Schmidt
86′
94′
🟨 Tanner Tessmann
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Toulouse

4-2-3-1
16 Guillaume Restes G
94 Ismail Diallo D
3 Mark McKenzie D
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen D
12 Christ Tapé D
23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M
31 Niklas Schmidt M
7 Julian Vignolo M
8 Thomas Jørgensen M
10 Yann Gboho M
9 Santiago Hidalgo F
Bench (9)
22 Rafik Messali
13 Jacen Russell Rowe
37 Ilyas Azizi
11 Sion Oppong
28 Mathis Saka
60 Mathys Niflore
19 David Odogu
5 Seny Koumbassa
77 Mario Sauer

Coach: Jens Askou

Lyon

4-3-3
40 Rémy Descamps G
13 Zachary Athekame D
20 Felix Bacher D
22 Clinton Mata D
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D
2 Mads Bidstrup M
39 Mathys de Carvalho M
99 Noah Nartey M
26 Kaïl Boudache F
45 Rémi Himbert F
24 Julien Duranville F
Bench (9)
11 Malick Fofana
10 Pavel Šulc
23 Tyler Morton
8 Corentin Tolisso
6 Tanner Tessmann
1 Dominik Greif
3 Nicolás Tagliafico
7 Ernest Nuamah
17 Loïs Openda

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
🔒
U
3,39
🔒
B ✓
2,42
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,77
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,98
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.