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NM-cupen
Vard
S T T S T
3–4
Full-time
Haugesund
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vard Haugesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,5
5,7
Scored
1,8
3,5
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +13 3
2 Sogndal 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Asker 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 Træff 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Skeid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Pors Grenland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Strommen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Rana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Follo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 hodd 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Stalkam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Urædd 1 0 0 1 -3 0
21 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -4 0
22 Frøya 1 0 0 1 -6 0
23 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -7 0
24 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
25 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -8 0
26 Langevag 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vard Haugesund
1–0 A. Eide
2′
29′
A. Grindhaug 1–1
P. Hannola
Half-time 2–1
2–1 S. Lille-Lovo
S. L. Haaland
56′
59′
N. Sandberg 2–2
S. Diarra
M. Alvsaker
penalty missed
62′
80′
S. Diarra 2–3
3–3 S. Lille-Lovo
90′
97′
I. Seone 3–4
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Vard

Coach: Kolbjorn Fosen

Haugesund

Coach: Endre Eide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.