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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Karol Arys
Jagiellonia
T S S U S
1–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,08 xG 0,71
62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -26 Korona Kielce – Jagiellonia 1–1 5. Oct -25 Jagiellonia – Korona Kielce 3–1 27. Apr -25 Korona Kielce – Jagiellonia 3–1 27. Oct -24 Jagiellonia – Korona Kielce 3–1 11. May -24 Jagiellonia – Korona Kielce 3–0

Match report

Jagiellonia Korona Kielce
Half-time 0–0
R. Conceicao 🔁
↦ Y. Sylla
61′
N. Prelec 🔁
↦ K. Jozwiak
61′
64′
🟨 Patrik Hellebrand
67′
🔁 M. Remacle
↦ S. Gustafson
67′
🔁 D. Bak
↦ M. Stepinski
S. Lozano 🔁
↦ D. Drachal
74′
84′
🔁 K. Jakubczyk
↦ T. Svetlin
84′
🔁 K. Ciszek
↦ D. Blanik
D. Rallis 🔁
↦ J. Imaz
86′
J. Agbonifo 🔁
↦ K. Szmyt
86′
1–0 N. Prelec ⚽
S. Lozano
88′
90′
🔁 M. Fassbender
↦ P. Hellebrand
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-1-4-1
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
5 B. Vital D
4 Y. Kobayashi D
23 G. Montoia D
6 T. Romanczuk M
72 K. Jozwiak M
11 J. Imaz M
8 D. Drachal M
7 K. Szmyt M
17 Y. Sylla F
Bench (12)
1 M. Perchel
27 R. Conceicao
21 S. Lozano
44 A. Konstantopoulos
2 C. Polak
85 E. Kozlowski
9 D. Rallis
80 Z. Zalewski
99 N. Prelec
10 J. Agbonifo
61 B. Krasiewicz
90 M. Kuczynski

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

Korona Kielce

4-2-3-1
1 X. Dziekonski G
37 H. Zwozny D
44 K. Sotiriou D
2 A. Mosor D
6 M. Pieczek D
18 P. Hellebrand M
88 T. Svetlin M
71 W. Dlugosz M
86 S. Gustafson M
7 D. Blanik M
14 M. Stepinski F
Bench (11)
87 R. Mamla
22 M. Fassbender
11 K. Matuszewski
24 B. Smolarczyk
35 K. Jakubczyk
15 K. Tobola
21 K. Ciszek
8 M. Remacle
99 D. Bak
20 K. Minuczyc
67 N. Barczak

Coach: Jacek Zielinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Karol Arys · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.