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La Liga
Referee: José María Sánchez Martínez
Espanol
T S S U S
1–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 2,71
37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 7
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.5 6
2 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +3 +3.3 4
3 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 +1.3 3
4 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
5 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.1 3
6 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.2 1
7 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.2 1
8 La Coruna 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.9 1
9 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.9 1
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
11 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
12 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.9 1
13 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
14 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.8 0
15 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
16 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.7 0
17 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 -1.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -26 Espanol – Real Madrid 0–2 20. Sep -25 Real Madrid – Espanol 2–0 1. Feb -25 Espanol – Real Madrid 1–0 21. Sep -24 Real Madrid – Espanol 4–1 11. Mar -23 Real Madrid – Espanol 3–1

Match report

Espanol Real Madrid
9′
⚽ J. Bellingham 0–1
A. Guler
1–1 A. Calatrava ⚽
J. Hernandez
30′
Álex Calatrava 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Vinícius Júnior
Half-time 1–1
Clemens Riedel 🟨
59′
64′
🔁 M. Cucurella
↦ A. Carreras
64′
🔁 Y. Diomande
↦ A. Guler
V. Drkusic 🔁
↦ C. Riedel
66′
R. Bauza 🔁
↦ A. Calatrava
66′
P. Lozano 🔁
↦ U. Gonzalez
75′
P. Milla 🔁
↦ J. Hernandez
75′
80′
🔁 T. Alexander-Arnold
↦ D. Dumfries
80′
🔁 E. Camavinga
↦ B. Silva
80′
🔁 C. Espi
↦ J. Bellingham
Edu Expósito 🟨
84′
Jofre 🔁
↦ Exposito
88′
90′
⚽ C. Espi 1–2
Pere Milla 🟨
91′
Pol Lozano 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Espanol

4-4-2
13 M. Dmitrovic G
23 O. El Hilali D
5 C. Riedel D
14 U. Nunez D
21 R. Hinojo D
22 A. Calatrava M
4 U. Gonzalez M
8 Exposito M
24 T. Dolan M
9 R. Fernandez Jaen F
28 J. Hernandez F
Bench (12)
1 A. Fortuno
31 L. Serred
16 V. Drkusic
3 Q. Hartman
32 J. A. Lopez
10 P. Lozano
20 Gabriel Moscardo
26 R. Bauza
11 P. Milla
17 Jofre
18 M. Fernandez Sanchez
27 A. Timera

Coach: Manolo Gonzalez

Real Madrid

4-2-3-1
1 T. Courtois G
24 D. Dumfries D
16 I. Konate D
4 D. Huijsen D
18 A. Carreras D
20 B. Silva M
8 F. Valverde M
15 A. Guler M
5 J. Bellingham M
7 Vinicius Junior M
10 K. Mbappe F
Bench (12)
13 A. Lunin
26 S. Mestre
22 A. Rudiger
33 M. Rivas
17 M. Cucurella
12 T. Alexander-Arnold
6 E. Camavinga
21 B. Diaz
29 J. Cestero Sancho
19 C. Espi
36 A. Ciria
25 Y. Diomande

Coach: Jose Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,36
🔒
U
4,59
🔒
B ✓
1,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,68
🔒
U2,5
2,11
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José María Sánchez Martínez · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.