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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

GAIS

T S U T S

0–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

38%

44%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

75%

Both score Ø 60%

44%

75%

Average goals

2,3

3,6

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,35 xG 0,22

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 8. · Malmo FF 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	17	13	3	1	+24	+11.5	42
2	Hammarby	16	9	3	4	+21	+13.1	30
3	AIK	17	8	4	5	+0	-10.9	28
4	Elfsborg	17	7	6	4	+6	-1.1	27
5	Djurgarden	16	8	2	6	+15	+5.8	26
6	Hacken	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.7	25
7	Vasteras SK	17	7	4	6	-7	-1.2	25
8	GAIS	16	6	5	5	+6	+3.6	23
9	Malmo FF	16	7	2	7	+4	+4.2	23
10	Brommapojkarna	17	5	6	6	-2	-5.4	21
11	Mjallby	16	5	5	6	+1	+1.7	20
12	Goteborg	17	5	4	8	-16	+0.0	19
13	Kalmar	16	5	3	8	-3	+2.0	18
14	Degerfors	17	4	4	9	-10	-8.2	16
15	Orgryte	17	3	4	10	-19	-10.2	13
16	Halmstad	16	1	4	11	-22	-11.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	9	7	1	1	+24	+10.0	22
2	Sirius	8	6	2	0	+12	+7.1	20
3	Kalmar	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.9	17
4	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+9	+1.6	15
5	Elfsborg	9	4	3	2	+5	-1.5	15
6	Djurgarden	9	4	1	4	+11	+3.8	13
7	Hacken	8	3	4	1	+1	+4.9	13
8	Vasteras SK	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.6	12
9	Goteborg	8	3	2	3	+0	+4.2	11
10	Mjallby	8	3	1	4	+1	+2.6	10
11	Malmo FF	8	3	0	5	+4	+4.6	9
12	Brommapojkarna	8	2	3	3	+0	-3.8	9
13	AIK	7	3	0	4	-5	-1.4	9
14	Degerfors	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.7	8
15	Orgryte	8	1	4	3	-2	-0.9	7
16	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-11	-5.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	9	7	1	1	+12	+4.5	22
2	AIK	10	5	4	1	+5	-9.4	19
3	Malmo FF	8	4	2	2	+0	-0.4	14
4	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+4	+2.1	13
5	Vasteras SK	9	4	1	4	-10	-2.8	13
6	Hacken	8	3	3	2	+1	+1.8	12
7	Elfsborg	8	3	3	2	+1	+0.4	12
8	Brommapojkarna	9	3	3	3	-2	-1.6	12
9	Mjallby	8	2	4	2	+0	-0.8	10
10	GAIS	8	2	2	4	-3	+2.1	8
11	Hammarby	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
12	Degerfors	8	2	2	4	-5	-2.5	8
13	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-16	-4.2	8
14	Orgryte	9	2	0	7	-17	-9.3	6
15	Halmstad	7	0	2	5	-11	-5.9	2
16	Kalmar	8	0	1	7	-10	+1.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.