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Championship

Referee: J Smith

West Brom

S T U U U

2–3

Full-time

Birmingham

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Championship · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

13%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

38%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

88%

38%

Average goals

2,8

1,6

Scored

1,5

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

18 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 19. · Birmingham 22. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Norwich	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Blackburn	9	5	0	4	+0	15
4	Reading	8	5	0	3	-2	15
5	Burnley	9	3	5	1	+6	14
6	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	QPR	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Rotherham	8	3	4	1	+6	13
9	Watford	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Wigan	8	3	4	1	-1	13
11	Preston	9	2	6	1	+1	12
12	Sunderland	8	3	2	3	+2	11
13	Stoke	9	3	2	4	+0	11
14	Cardiff	9	3	2	4	-3	11
15	Blackpool	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Hull	9	3	2	4	-7	11
17	Luton	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	Millwall	9	3	1	5	-4	10
19	West Brom	8	1	6	1	+2	9
20	Middlesbrough	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Swansea	9	2	3	4	-5	9
22	Birmingham	8	2	2	4	-3	8
23	Huddersfield	8	1	1	6	-5	4
24	Coventry	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Sheffield United	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Reading	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Rotherham	5	3	2	0	+9	11
5	Bristol City	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Blackburn	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Millwall	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Watford	4	3	0	1	+2	9
9	Hull	5	3	0	2	-2	9
10	Middlesbrough	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	QPR	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Cardiff	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	West Brom	4	1	3	0	+3	6
14	Burnley	4	1	3	0	+2	6
15	Sunderland	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Stoke	4	1	2	1	+1	5
17	Huddersfield	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	Blackpool	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Preston	5	0	4	1	-1	4
21	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-5	4
22	Luton	5	0	3	2	-2	3
23	Wigan	4	0	3	1	-4	3
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Burnley	5	2	2	1	+4	8
3	Sheffield United	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Preston	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	QPR	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Blackpool	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Sunderland	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Norwich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Stoke	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Blackburn	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Swansea	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Bristol City	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Watford	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Cardiff	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	West Brom	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Reading	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Rotherham	3	0	2	1	-3	2
20	Coventry	5	0	2	3	-5	2
21	Hull	4	0	2	2	-5	2
22	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
23	Millwall	4	0	1	3	-6	1
24	Huddersfield	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.