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Championship
Referee: D Webb
Luton
U T T T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
0%
60%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
1,4
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
11 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luton 18. · Sheffield United 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 5 3 1 1 +5 10
2 Watford 5 2 3 0 +2 9
3 Reading 5 3 0 2 +0 9
4 Blackburn 5 3 0 2 -1 9
5 Sunderland 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Hull 5 2 2 1 -1 8
7 Bristol City 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 Norwich 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Preston 5 1 4 0 +1 7
10 Millwall 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Blackpool 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 -1 7
13 Rotherham 4 1 3 0 +4 6
14 West Brom 5 1 3 1 +2 6
15 Wigan 4 1 3 0 +1 6
16 Burnley 5 1 3 1 +0 6
17 QPR 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Luton 5 1 2 2 -1 5
19 Birmingham 5 1 2 2 -1 5
20 Swansea 5 1 2 2 -4 5
21 Stoke 5 1 1 3 -3 4
22 Huddersfield 4 1 0 3 -1 3
23 Middlesbrough 5 0 3 2 -2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton Sheffield United
1–0 C. Morris
A. Bell
10′
15′
🟨 George Baldock
23′
🟨 James McAtee
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Doyle
↦ J. McAtee
53′
O. McBurnie 1–1
J. Egan
54′
🟨 Oliver McBurnie
73′
🟨 Iliman Ndiaye
C. Jerome 🔁
↦ C. Morris
75′
78′
🔁 J. Amissah
↦ W. Foderingham
83′
🔁 A. Ahmedhodžić
↦ R. Norrington-Davies
84′
🔁 R. Brewster
↦ I. Ndiaye
L. Berry 🔁
↦ L. Freeman
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luton

3-4-1-2
34 E. Horvath G
16 R. Burke D
4 T. Lockyer D
3 D. Potts D
2 J. Bree M
18 J. Clark M
30 L. Freeman M
29 A. Bell M
22 A. Campbell F
9 C. Morris F
11 E. Adebayo F
Bench (7)
35 C. Jerome
8 L. Berry
23 F. Onyedinma
15 A. Muskwe
33 M. Macey
32 G. Osho
10 C. Woodrow

Coach: N. Jones

Sheffield United

3-5-2
18 W. Foderingham G
6 C. Basham D
12 J. Egan D
33 R. Norrington-Davies D
2 G. Baldock M
8 S. Berge M
16 O. Norwood M
28 J. McAtee M
13 M. Lowe M
29 I. Ndiaye F
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
22 T. Doyle
37 J. Amissah
15 A. Ahmedhodžić
7 R. Brewster
36 D. Jebbison
30 O. Arblaster
32 W. Osula

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,18
U ✓
3,23
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.