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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Clermont
U U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
48%
58%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
19 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 14. · Guingamp 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 33 20 7 6 +28 67
2 Le Mans 33 15 14 4 +17 59
3 St Etienne 33 17 6 10 +16 57
4 Rodez 33 14 13 6 +5 55
5 Red Star 32 15 9 8 +8 54
6 Reims 33 13 14 6 +16 53
7 Annecy 33 15 7 11 +11 52
8 Montpellier 33 14 8 11 +10 50
9 Pau FC 33 12 9 12 -12 45
10 Dunkerque 33 11 10 12 +9 43
11 Guingamp 33 10 10 13 -6 40
12 Grenoble 33 7 15 11 -7 36
13 Boulogne 33 9 9 15 -14 36
14 Clermont 33 8 10 15 -7 34
15 Nancy 33 8 10 15 -18 34
16 Laval 33 5 14 14 -19 29
17 Bastia 32 5 13 14 -14 28
18 Amiens 33 6 6 21 -23 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Guingamp
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 A. Sagna
↦ F. Mbemba
V. Nsimba 🔁
↦ I. Coulibaly
67′
K. Bamba 🔁
↦ A. Hunou
68′
72′
🔁 I. Diakite
↦ E. Koffi
72′
🔁 Y. Njoya
↦ Y. Demoncy
1–0 H. Saivet
A. Camblan
72′
77′
🟨 Tanguy Ahile
79′
🔁 T. Matondo
↦ D. Louiserre
79′
🔁 N. Fondja
↦ A. Demouchy
E. H. Kone 🔁
↦ J. Gastien
82′
E. Cantero 🔁
↦ I. Fakili
89′
I. M'Bahia 🔁
↦ H. Saivet
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Clermont

4-4-2
30 T. Guivarch G
93 I. Coulibaly D
21 Y. Salmier D
4 S. Sow D
39 M. Tourraine D
7 A. Camblan M
10 H. Saivet M
25 J. Gastien M
29 I. Fakili M
23 A. Hunou F
18 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
16 M. N'Diaye
32 K. Bamba
17 O. Diop
77 E. Cantero
12 V. Nsimba
38 E. H. Kone
28 I. M'Bahia

Coach: Gregory Proment

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
2 E. Koffi D
36 A. Demouchy D
18 S. Nair D
3 J. Matumona D
21 Y. Demoncy M
4 D. Louiserre M
39 T. Ahile M
17 F. Mbemba M
9 L. Mafouta F
27 S. Kielt F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
29 A. Abdallah
37 T. Matondo
32 I. Diakite
11 A. Sagna
34 Y. Njoya
35 N. Fondja

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,12
U
3,52
B
2,05
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.