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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
1–2
Full-time
Standard
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
3,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,89 xG 1,36
63% Possession 37%
22 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
11 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17. · Standard 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 5 5 0 0 +8 +4.5 15
2 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 +5.4 9
3 Waregem 3 2 1 0 +5 +1.9 7
4 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 +5.3 7
5 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +4 +2.2 7
6 Lommel SK 4 2 1 1 +4 7
7 Gent 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.5 6
8 Standard 3 1 2 0 +2 +0.1 5
9 St. Gilloise 2 1 1 0 +4 +0.9 4
10 Lommel United 3 1 1 1 +3 -0.9 4
11 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 -1.6 3
12 Anderlecht 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.9 3
13 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -8 -6.2 3
14 Cercle Brugge 4 0 2 2 -2 +0.2 2
15 Mechelen 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.0 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 0 2 -5 -4.1 0
18 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -3.4 0
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -13 -4.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Standard
9′
C. Nielsen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Roggerio Nyakossi 🟨
51′
D. Opoku 🔁
↦ A. K. Traore
58′
61′
🔁 R. Fosso
↦ R. Touzghar
61′
🔁 D. Eckert
↦ S. Drammeh
1–1 W. George
C. Ikwuemesi
66′
68′
D. Eckert 1–2
A. Abid
73′
🔁 D. Dierckx
↦ B. Nguene
73′
🔁 H. Lawrence
↦ M. Fossey
76′
🟨 Casper Nielsen
82′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ A. Trouillet
L. Lakomy 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
86′
K. Vaesen 🔁
↦ R. Nyakossi
86′
S. Yamada 🔁
↦ W. Balikwisha
86′
Siebe Schrijvers 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Matthieu Epolo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-1-2
16 D. van den Heuvel G
28 E. Pletinckx D
3 N. Dussenne D
34 R. Nyakossi D
27 O. Gil M
4 B. Verstraete M
8 S. Schrijvers M
9 A. K. Traore M
6 W. George F
21 W. Balikwisha F
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
Bench (9)
1 T. Leysen
5 J. Lawrence
99 D. Opoku
48 B. Kayo
80 M. Heremans
24 L. Lakomy
72 S. Murru
17 K. Vaesen
20 S. Yamada

Coach: Timmy Simons

Standard

4-3-3
1 M. Epolo G
13 M. Fossey D
20 I. Karamoko D
25 I. Hautekiet D
3 G. Mortensen D
94 C. Nielsen M
22 A. Trouillet M
84 R. Touzghar M
15 S. Drammeh F
17 B. Nguene F
11 A. Abid F
Bench (9)
21 L. Pirard
29 D. Dierckx
18 H. Lawrence
80 R. Fosso
7 T. Mohr
6 L. Goemaere
10 D. Eckert
19 S. Jasper
77 B. Nsimba

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U
3,33
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.