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Ligue 2

Referee: E Rosier

Guingamp

T T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Bastia

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 32/31 matches

Win Ø 22%

31%

13%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

59%

19%

Both score Ø 44%

53%

35%

Average goals

2,8

1,9

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

9 Shots 12

0 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guingamp 11. · Bastia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	32	19	7	6	+24	64
2	Le Mans	32	15	13	4	+17	58
3	St Etienne	32	17	6	9	+17	57
4	Reims	32	13	13	6	+16	52
5	Rodez	32	13	13	6	+4	52
6	Red Star	31	14	9	8	+6	51
7	Montpellier	32	14	8	10	+11	50
8	Annecy	32	14	7	11	+10	49
9	Pau FC	32	12	9	11	-10	45
10	Dunkerque	32	11	10	11	+10	43
11	Guingamp	32	10	10	12	-5	40
12	Boulogne	32	9	9	14	-13	36
13	Grenoble	32	6	15	11	-8	33
14	Clermont	32	7	10	15	-8	31
15	Nancy	32	7	10	15	-20	31
16	Laval	32	5	14	13	-15	29
17	Bastia	31	4	13	14	-15	25
18	Amiens	32	6	6	20	-21	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	16	13	1	2	+19	40
2	St Etienne	16	10	2	4	+16	32
3	Le Mans	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Reims	16	8	5	3	+10	29
5	Montpellier	16	8	4	4	+8	28
6	Rodez	16	7	7	2	+5	28
7	Annecy	16	7	6	3	+11	27
8	Red Star	16	7	6	3	+0	27
9	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	-2	23
10	Dunkerque	16	5	7	4	+6	22
11	Grenoble	16	4	10	2	-1	22
12	Pau FC	16	5	5	6	-4	20
13	Clermont	16	4	6	6	+0	18
14	Boulogne	16	4	3	9	-12	15
15	Nancy	16	4	3	9	-14	15
16	Bastia	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Laval	16	1	8	7	-9	11
18	Amiens	16	2	3	11	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Mans	16	6	8	2	+5	26
2	St Etienne	16	7	4	5	+1	25
3	Pau FC	16	7	4	5	-6	25
4	Red Star	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Troyes	16	6	6	4	+5	24
6	Rodez	16	6	6	4	-1	24
7	Reims	16	5	8	3	+6	23
8	Montpellier	16	6	4	6	+3	22
9	Annecy	16	7	1	8	-1	22
10	Dunkerque	16	6	3	7	+4	21
11	Boulogne	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Laval	16	4	6	6	-6	18
13	Guingamp	16	4	5	7	-3	17
14	Nancy	16	3	7	6	-6	16
15	Amiens	16	4	3	9	-8	15
16	Clermont	16	3	4	9	-8	13
17	Grenoble	16	2	5	9	-7	11
18	Bastia	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.