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Serie B

Referee: Fabio Maresca

Padova

T S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Verona

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Padova Verona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,94 xG 1,62

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Padova 8. · Verona 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Cesena	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
3	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
4	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
5	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
6	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
8	Padova	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
9	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
10	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
11	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
12	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
14	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
15	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
17	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
18	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
19	Virtus Entella	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
20	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Vicenza	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.0	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
3	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Sudtirol	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
7	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
8	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
9	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
10	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
11	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
13	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.7	6
2	Ascoli	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
3	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
5	Arezzo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Padova	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
8	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
10	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
11	Virtus Entella	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.