← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Paul Tierney
Middlesbrough
T S S T S
3–1
Full-time
West Brom
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Middlesbrough West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,55 xG 1,32
47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 13. · West Brom 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Millwall 2 2 0 0 +5 +4.5 6
2 West Brom 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.7 6
3 Charlton 2 2 0 0 +2 -2.2 6
4 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 +1.2 5
5 Wolves 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.1 4
6 QPR 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.5 4
7 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.7 4
8 Watford 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.2 4
9 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.9 4
10 Bolton 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.7 4
11 Southampton 2 1 0 1 +1 +2.3 3
12 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.0 3
13 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.2 3
14 Cardiff 2 0 2 0 +0 -0.2 2
15 Sheffield United 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.4 2
16 Wrexham 3 0 2 1 -1 +1.6 2
17 West Ham 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.2 1
18 Derby 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.3 1
19 Burnley 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.5 1
20 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 -2 -3.4 1
21 Stoke 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.4 0
22 Lincoln 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.6 0
23 Preston 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.9 0
24 Norwich 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough West Brom
M. Arfsten 🔁
↦ J. Sarmiento
40′
Half-time 0–0
S. Berhalter 🔁
↦ M. Peart-Harris
46′
1–0 W. Lankshear
48′
61′
🟨 Ousmane Diakité
65′
J. Morgan 1–1
I. Price
A. Jones 🔁
↦ M. Whittaker
69′
K. Joseph 🔁
↦ R. McGree
69′
70′
🔁 R. Nzingoula
↦ H. Whitwell
2–1 W. Lankshear
73′
77′
🔁 A. Heggebo
↦ F. Myhre
77′
🔁 K. Tunde
↦ J. Molumby
T. Conway 🔁
↦ W. Lankshear
86′
86′
🔁 B. Stewart
↦ J. Morgan
3–1 A. Jones
L. Ayling
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 R. Vitek G
2 C. Brittain D
12 L. Ayling D
29 A. Malanda D
30 Neto Borges D
10 A. Morris M
14 M. Peart-Harris M
11 M. Whittaker M
8 R. McGree M
16 J. Sarmiento M
7 W. Lankshear F
Bench (9)
31 S. Brynn
5 A. Jones
4 A. Phillips
6 S. Berhalter
19 L. Castledine
9 T. Conway
13 D. Strelec
22 K. Joseph
17 M. Arfsten

Coach: Kim Hellberg

West Brom

1 M. O'Leary G
25 N. Galves D
3 N. Phillips D
6 G. Campbell D
4 C. Styles D
29 H. Whitwell M
8 J. Molumby M
17 O. Diakite M
21 I. Price M
7 F. Myhre F
11 J. Morgan F
Bench (9)
13 M. Ingram
28 A. Williams
22 C. Townsend
2 C. Mepham
20 R. Nzingoula
19 A. Heggebo
23 T. Bany
26 K. Tunde
9 B. Stewart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,76
B
4,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.