Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Middlesbrough
West Brom
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Millwall
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +4.5 | 6 |
| 2 |
West Brom
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.7 | 6 |
| 3 |
Charlton
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -2.2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Birmingham
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | +1.2 | 5 |
| 5 |
Wolves
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +2.1 | 4 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +1.5 | 4 |
| 7 |
Blackburn
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -1.7 | 4 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -2.2 | 4 |
| 9 |
Swansea
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -0.9 | 4 |
| 10 |
Bolton
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | -1.7 | 4 |
| 11 |
Southampton
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | +2.3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Portsmouth
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -1.0 | 3 |
| 13 |
Middlesbrough
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +2.2 | 3 |
| 14 |
Cardiff
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | -0.2 | 2 |
| 15 |
Sheffield United
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +0.4 | 2 |
| 16 |
Wrexham
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +1.6 | 2 |
| 17 |
West Ham
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +1.2 | 1 |
| 18 |
Derby
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.3 | 1 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.5 | 1 |
| 20 |
Bristol City
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -3.4 | 1 |
| 21 |
Stoke
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -1.4 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lincoln
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -0.6 | 0 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -0.9 | 0 |
| 24 |
Norwich
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -0.6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Vitek
G
C. Brittain
D
L. Ayling
D
A. Malanda
D
Neto Borges
D
A. Morris
M
M. Peart-Harris
M
M. Whittaker
M
R. McGree
M
J. Sarmiento
M
W. Lankshear
F
Coach: Kim Hellberg
M. O'Leary
G
N. Galves
D
N. Phillips
D
G. Campbell
D
C. Styles
D
H. Whitwell
M
J. Molumby
M
O. Diakite
M
I. Price
M
F. Myhre
F
J. Morgan
F
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Doncaster
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Lincoln
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Hull
Middlesbrough
Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.