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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Nantes

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Guingamp

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

22%

44%

Both score Ø 33%

22%

44%

Average goals

1,4

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

7 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 5. · Guingamp 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+23	25
2	Monaco	10	7	1	2	+14	22
3	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+3	17
5	Nantes	9	5	2	2	+1	17
6	Lyon	9	4	4	1	+5	16
7	Bordeaux	9	4	4	1	+2	16
8	Montpellier	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Caen	10	5	0	5	-1	15
10	Guingamp	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Angers	9	2	6	1	+3	12
12	Troyes	9	3	3	3	+0	12
13	Toulouse	9	3	2	4	-5	11
14	Nice	9	3	1	5	-2	10
15	Rennes	9	1	3	5	-4	6
16	Lille	8	1	3	4	-7	6
17	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
18	Dijon	9	1	3	5	-8	6
19	Strasbourg	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Metz	9	1	0	8	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	St Etienne	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Bordeaux	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Guingamp	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	+2	9
8	Caen	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Nice	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
12	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Troyes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Lille	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	+1	4
16	Dijon	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Angers	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Metz	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+0	10
4	Angers	5	2	3	0	+4	9
5	Monaco	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Troyes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Caen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
9	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	-3	6
11	Rennes	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lyon	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Guingamp	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Metz	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Nice	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Amiens	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Toulouse	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Strasbourg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.