Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Premier League

Referee: Samuel Barrott

Liverpool

T U T U U

2–2

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Liverpool Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,75 xG 2,30

69% Possession 31%

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 11. · Nott'm Forest 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.5	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.3	3
5	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
6	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
11	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
14	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
18	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.3	0
19	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.5	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.5	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
6	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
9	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
10	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
11	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.5	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
5	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
6	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
7	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
8	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
9	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
10	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.3	0
11	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.