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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Nantes

T U T S S

5–0

Full-time

Guingamp

U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 18%

27%

Points per game

1,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,3

0,6

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 4

10 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 15. · Guingamp 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	12	0	0	+34	36
2	Lille	12	8	1	3	+11	25
3	Montpellier	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Lyon	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Marseille	11	6	1	4	+4	19
6	Strasbourg	12	4	5	3	+4	17
7	St Etienne	11	4	5	2	-1	17
8	Reims	12	4	5	3	-2	17
9	Nice	12	5	2	5	-5	17
10	Bordeaux	12	4	3	5	-1	15
11	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
12	Nimes	12	3	5	4	-1	14
13	Toulouse	12	3	5	4	-9	14
14	Angers	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-3	12
16	Caen	12	2	5	5	-5	11
17	Dijon	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Amiens	12	3	1	8	-9	10
19	Monaco	12	1	4	7	-6	7
20	Guingamp	11	1	4	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	7	0	0	+23	21
2	Lille	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Lyon	7	4	2	1	+7	14
4	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Amiens	6	3	0	3	+2	9
10	Reims	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Toulouse	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Caen	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Rennes	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	Nimes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Nice	6	2	0	4	-7	6
16	Nantes	5	1	2	2	+1	5
17	Angers	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Monaco	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Dijon	6	1	0	5	-10	3
20	Guingamp	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Montpellier	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Nice	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Dijon	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Nimes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Rennes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
7	Reims	6	2	2	2	-3	8
8	Angers	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Lille	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Lyon	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Nantes	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Strasbourg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Marseille	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-5	6
15	Toulouse	6	1	3	2	-7	6
16	Bordeaux	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Guingamp	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Monaco	6	1	1	4	-3	4
19	Caen	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Amiens	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.