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Süper Lig

Referee: Mehmet Turkmen

Galatasaray

T S T U S

3–2

Full-time

Goztep

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,87 xG 0,63

67% Possession 33%

34 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 6

5 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 3. · Goztep 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genclerbirligi	3	2	1	0	+2	-2.2	7
2	Kocaelispor	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.9	6
3	Galatasaray	2	1	1	0	+4	+4.9	4
4	Samsunspor	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.4	4
5	Trabzonspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
6	Alanyaspor	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
7	Gaziantep	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
8	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
9	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.9	3
10	Amedspor	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.6	3
11	Buyuksehyr	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.2	3
12	Besiktas	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
13	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
14	Goztep	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
15	Corum	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
16	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-7	-3.8	1
17	Eyüpspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.9	0
18	Konyaspor	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genclerbirligi	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
2	Amedspor	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.3	3
3	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.2	3
4	Kocaelispor	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
5	Buyuksehyr	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
6	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.3	3
7	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
8	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
9	Samsunspor	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
10	Galatasaray	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.3	1
11	Kasimpasa	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
12	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
13	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
14	Goztep	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
15	Corum	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
16	Konyaspor	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.8	0
17	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-2	+1.5	0
18	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	+2	-1.5	3
3	Rizespor	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Gaziantep	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
5	Genclerbirligi	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Kasimpasa	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
7	Kocaelispor	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
8	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Corum	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.3	1
10	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.0	1
11	Alanyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
12	Erzurumspor	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.2	1
13	Fenerbahce	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.7	0
14	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.3	0
15	Besiktas	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
16	Eyüpspor	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
17	Konyaspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.2	0
18	Amedspor	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.