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Bundesliga
Referee: Florian Badstubner
FC Koln
T U T T S
3–2
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,95 xG 1,88
41% Possession 59%
18 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
11 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Koln Hoffenheim
27′
A. Daghim 0–1
B. Conte
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. El Mala
51′
53′
🔁 R. Hranac
↦ Bernardo
53′
🔁 M. Moerstedt
↦ A. Hlozek
57′
Max Moerstedt
penalty missed
E. Skhiri 🔁
↦ P. Okon-Engstler
65′
L. Maina 🔁
↦ S. El Mala
65′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ R. Ache
66′
67′
O. Kabak 1–2
V. Coufal
71′
🔁 N. De Cat
↦ P. Wimmer
2–2 T. Dallinga
L. Maina
72′
3–2 T. Dallinga
82′
83′
🟨 Ozan Kabak
87′
🔁 M. Rots
↦ A. Hajdari
87′
🔁 A. Kramaric
↦ A. Daghim
M. Bulter 🔁
↦ T. Krauss
90′
J. Schmied 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
93′
94′
🟨 Max Moerstedt
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-3
1 M. Schwabe G
17 A. Castro-Montes D
22 J. Simpson-Pusey D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
14 G. Mensah D
8 I. Johannesson M
5 T. Krauss M
23 P. Okon-Engstler M
29 J. Thielmann F
9 R. Ache F
10 S. El Mala F
Bench (9)
20 R. Zieler
2 J. Schmied
33 R. van den Berg
6 E. Skhiri
39 J. Friemel
37 L. Maina
27 T. Dallinga
11 R. Heskey
30 M. Bulter

Coach: Rene Wagner

Hoffenheim

4-4-2
1 O. Baumann G
34 V. Coufal D
5 O. Kabak D
21 A. Hajdari D
13 Bernardo D
8 P. Wimmer M
18 W. Burger M
7 L. Avdullahu M
14 A. Daghim M
10 A. Hlozek F
20 B. Conte F
Bench (9)
37 L. Philipp
2 R. Hranac
15 V. Gendrey
39 M. Rots
29 N. Abraha
17 N. De Cat
32 C. Lenz
27 A. Kramaric
9 M. Moerstedt

Coach: Christian Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,69
B
2,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Florian Badstubner · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.