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Premier League

Referee: Chris Kavanagh

Bournemouth

S S U U T

1–1

Full-time

Everton

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,16 xG 1,84

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 14. · Everton 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.5	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.3	3
5	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
6	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
7	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
9	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
10	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.9	2
11	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
12	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
13	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
14	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
15	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
16	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
18	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.3	0
19	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.5	0
20	Crystal Palace	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+4	+3.5	3
2	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
5	Hull	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
6	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
7	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
10	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
11	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.5	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
3	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
5	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
6	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
7	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
8	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
9	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
10	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0
11	Tottenham	1	0	0	1	-3	-3.3	0
12	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-4	-3.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.