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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Reichel

Holstein Kiel

S S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Elversberg

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,5

3,1

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

23 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 6. · Elversberg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	9	5	4	0	+12	19
2	Hamburg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Kaiserslautern	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Hannover	9	4	3	2	+9	15
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Holstein Kiel	8	5	0	3	+0	15
7	Magdeburg	9	3	4	2	+3	13
8	Greuther Furth	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-3	12
10	Nurnberg	9	3	3	3	-5	12
11	Paderborn	8	3	2	3	-3	11
12	Elversberg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Hertha	8	3	0	5	+1	9
14	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Wehen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
16	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-5	7
17	Osnabruck	9	1	3	5	-10	6
18	Braunschweig	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	St Pauli	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Greuther Furth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Nurnberg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Hannover	4	2	1	1	+8	7
10	Paderborn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
12	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Holstein Kiel	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Braunschweig	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Osnabruck	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Elversberg	4	1	1	2	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
5	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Magdeburg	5	1	2	2	+0	5
7	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-7	4
12	Wehen	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	2	2	-6	2
16	Osnabruck	4	0	2	2	-8	2
17	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Braunschweig	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.