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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Bauer

Hertha

S S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Paderborn

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,7

3,3

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

50%

90%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

28% Possession 72%

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 14

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hertha 12. · Paderborn 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	6	3	2	+12	21
2	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+12	20
3	Hamburg	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Holstein Kiel	10	6	1	3	+2	19
5	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+10	18
6	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Greuther Furth	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+0	15
9	Paderborn	10	4	3	3	-1	15
10	Nurnberg	10	4	3	3	-3	15
11	Magdeburg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
12	Hertha	10	4	0	6	+0	12
13	Karlsruhe	10	3	3	4	+0	12
14	Wehen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Hansa Rostock	10	4	0	6	-5	12
16	Schalke 04	10	2	1	7	-9	7
17	Osnabruck	11	1	3	7	-16	6
18	Braunschweig	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Greuther Furth	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	St Pauli	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Nurnberg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
8	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Paderborn	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Holstein Kiel	5	2	1	2	-1	7
13	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
15	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+1	6
16	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
17	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Osnabruck	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	5	4	0	1	+3	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	1	1	+9	10
3	St Pauli	5	2	3	0	+2	9
4	Elversberg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Wehen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-6	6
9	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Kaiserslautern	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Osnabruck	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	Schalke 04	6	0	1	5	-10	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.