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DFB-Pokal

Referee: C Dingert

Freiburg

T T S S T

1–3

Full-time

Paderborn

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

7,0

Scored

2,0

7,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+7,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%

20 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 19. · Paderborn 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Kaiserslautern	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
10	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
11	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
12	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
13	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
14	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
31	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
55	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
56	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
59	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
60	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
61	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
62	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
63	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
64	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	SpVgg Unterhaching	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Bielefeld	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-4	0
25	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
28	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
30	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
31	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
32	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
33	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
34	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
35	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
36	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
37	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+6	3
9	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
10	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	+1	3
21	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.