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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Heft
Karlsruhe
T U T T U
3–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 15. · Schalke 04 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 10 5 5 0 +12 20
2 Hamburg 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 Hannover 10 5 3 2 +10 18
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 3 2 +9 18
5 Kaiserslautern 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Holstein Kiel 9 5 1 3 +0 16
7 Elversberg 10 4 3 3 +0 15
8 Paderborn 10 4 3 3 -1 15
9 Magdeburg 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Hertha 9 4 0 5 +2 12
11 Wehen 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Greuther Furth 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Hansa Rostock 9 4 0 5 -3 12
14 Nurnberg 9 3 3 3 -5 12
15 Karlsruhe 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Schalke 04 9 2 1 6 -6 7
17 Osnabruck 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Braunschweig 10 1 2 7 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Schalke 04
1–0 L. Stindl
I. Matanović
22′
2–0 I. Matanović
P. Nebel
37′
Fabian Schleusener 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ T. Ouwejan
46′
🔁 S. Kozuki
↦ S. Terodde
46′
🔁 H. Matriciani
↦ T. Kalas
B. Zivzivadze 🔁
↦ I. Matanović
70′
71′
🟨 Assan Ouédraogo
71′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ B. Lasme
2–1 H. Matriciani
own goal
74′
D. Burnić 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
80′
80′
🔁 D. Murkin
↦ Y. Kabadayı
L. Jensen 🔁
↦ J. Gondorf
88′
M. Thiede 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
88′
M. Beifus 🔁
↦ R. Bormuth
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
23 P. Drewes G
2 S. Jung D
32 R. Bormuth D
28 M. Franke D
20 D. Herold D
26 P. Nebel M
8 J. Gondorf M
10 M. Wanitzek M
13 L. Stindl M
24 F. Schleusener F
9 I. Matanović F
Bench (8)
11 B. Zivzivadze
15 D. Burnić
6 L. Jensen
21 M. Thiede
4 M. Beifus
16 P. Heise
18 D. Brosinski
29 M. Weiß

Coach: C. Eichner

Schalke 04

3-4-1-2
1 R. Fährmann G
26 T. Kalas D
25 T. Baumgartl D
35 M. Kamiński D
17 Y. Kabadayı M
7 P. Seguin M
10 L. Tempelmann M
2 T. Ouwejan M
43 A. Ouédraogo F
9 S. Terodde F
11 B. Lasme F
Bench (9)
29 T. Mohr
14 S. Kozuki
41 H. Matriciani
40 S. Polter
5 D. Murkin
22 I. Cissé
28 J. Heekeren
6 R. Schallenberg
24 D. Drexler

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,75
B
2,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Heft · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.