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Serie B

Referee: A Colombo

Sampdoria

T U T T U

2–0

Full-time

Cosenza

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Cosenza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

11%

44%

Points per game

0,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 17. · Cosenza 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Catanzaro	10	6	3	1	+5	21
3	Palermo	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Venezia	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Cosenza	9	4	2	3	+5	14
6	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Brescia	7	3	4	0	+4	13
8	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Cremonese	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Modena	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Cittadella	10	3	4	3	-3	13
12	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Pisa	9	3	3	3	+0	12
14	Bari	10	1	8	1	+0	11
15	Reggiana	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Ternana	10	1	3	6	-4	6
17	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Spezia	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	FeralpiSalo	10	1	2	7	-14	5
20	Lecco	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
6	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Como	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Palermo	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Brescia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Ternana	6	1	2	3	+0	5
13	Bari	5	0	5	0	+0	5
14	Pisa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Reggiana	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
17	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
3	Cremonese	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Parma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Venezia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Modena	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Sampdoria	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Ascoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	FeralpiSalo	6	1	1	4	-10	4
19	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.