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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Lyngby

S U S S T

0–2

Full-time

Aarhus

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyngby Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

36%

27%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

55%

36%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,41 xG 1,65

55% Possession 45%

5 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyngby 6. · Aarhus 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	+9	+5.3	26
2	Silkeborg	12	8	1	3	+13	+8.2	25
3	Brondby	11	8	0	3	+11	+2.6	24
4	Nordsjaelland	11	5	4	2	+12	+6.1	19
5	Midtjylland	11	5	3	3	+0	+1.7	18
6	Lyngby	11	4	3	4	-4	-2.7	15
7	Aarhus	11	3	5	3	-2	+4.0	14
8	Randers FC	11	3	4	4	-9	-2.7	13
9	Viborg	11	3	3	5	-6	+0.1	12
10	Odense	11	3	2	6	-2	-4.5	11
11	Vejle	12	2	2	8	-5	-11.4	8
12	Hvidovre IF	12	0	3	9	-17	-6.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	6	5	0	1	+10	+8.4	15
2	FC Copenhagen	6	4	0	2	+4	+3.9	12
3	Nordsjaelland	6	3	2	1	+7	+2.8	11
4	Midtjylland	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.9	11
5	Brondby	5	3	0	2	+4	+3.0	9
6	Viborg	5	2	3	0	+2	+2.6	9
7	Lyngby	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.9	8
8	Aarhus	6	2	2	2	-3	+2.2	8
9	Randers FC	5	2	2	1	-3	+1.1	8
10	Vejle	6	1	1	4	-2	-4.4	4
11	Odense	6	0	2	4	-6	-1.3	2
12	Hvidovre IF	6	0	0	6	-13	-1.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brondby	6	5	0	1	+7	-0.4	15
2	FC Copenhagen	6	4	2	0	+5	+1.4	14
3	Silkeborg	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.3	10
4	Odense	5	3	0	2	+4	-3.2	9
5	Nordsjaelland	5	2	2	1	+5	+3.3	8
6	Midtjylland	5	2	1	2	-3	-0.1	7
7	Lyngby	6	2	1	3	-7	-1.8	7
8	Aarhus	5	1	3	1	+1	+1.8	6
9	Randers FC	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.8	5
10	Vejle	6	1	1	4	-3	-6.9	4
11	Hvidovre IF	6	0	3	3	-4	-5.1	3
12	Viborg	6	1	0	5	-8	-2.5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.