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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

Karlsruhe

T S T U T

0–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

3,6

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 9

4 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 13. · Holstein Kiel 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	5	1	2	+7	16
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	4	2	2	+8	14
3	St Pauli	7	3	4	0	+7	13
4	Kaiserslautern	7	4	1	2	+2	13
5	Hannover	7	3	3	1	+9	12
6	Magdeburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Holstein Kiel	7	4	0	3	-2	12
8	Paderborn	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
10	Hertha	7	3	0	4	+2	9
11	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Hansa Rostock	7	3	0	4	-3	9
13	Karlsruhe	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Wehen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Schalke 04	8	2	1	5	-5	7
17	Braunschweig	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Osnabruck	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Kaiserslautern	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	St Pauli	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Greuther Furth	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Magdeburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Paderborn	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Hertha	3	2	0	1	+7	6
9	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Holstein Kiel	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Braunschweig	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Wehen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
16	Hannover	3	1	1	1	+6	4
17	Osnabruck	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Elversberg	3	1	0	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
3	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Magdeburg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Kaiserslautern	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Wehen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Karlsruhe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
17	Osnabruck	3	0	1	2	-8	1
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.