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Super League

Referee: L Cibelli

Winterthur

U S U T T

2–1

Full-time

St. Gallen

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur St. Gallen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

4,3

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

30%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

80%

50%

Both score Ø 80%

90%

70%

Average goals

4,4

2,4

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

2,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 1,64

45% Possession 55%

12 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 20

8 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Winterthur 8. · St. Gallen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	11	6	5	0	+13	-1.2	23
2	Young Boys	10	6	3	1	+11	+1.0	21
3	St. Gallen	10	5	3	2	+6	+4.1	18
4	Servette	11	4	4	3	-1	+2.0	16
5	Lugano	9	5	0	4	+3	+1.8	15
6	Luzern	10	4	3	3	-1	-0.5	15
7	Yverdon	10	4	3	3	-4	-3.6	15
8	Winterthur	10	3	3	4	-2	+0.7	12
9	Lausanne	11	2	3	6	-5	+0.0	9
10	Lausanne Ouchy	10	2	3	5	-8	-0.5	9
11	Grasshoppers	10	2	2	6	-3	-0.3	8
12	Basel	10	1	2	7	-9	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	5	5	0	0	+8	+2.1	15
2	Young Boys	5	4	1	0	+10	+1.4	13
3	Zurich	5	4	1	0	+7	-2.1	13
4	Yverdon	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.1	10
5	Luzern	5	3	1	1	+1	-1.1	10
6	Lugano	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.3	9
7	Winterthur	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.7	8
8	Servette	5	1	3	1	+0	-1.2	6
9	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	3	2	-5	+0.8	6
10	Basel	6	1	2	3	-2	-3.0	5
11	Lausanne	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.1	5
12	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	6	2	4	0	+6	+0.8	10
2	Servette	6	3	1	2	-1	+3.2	10
3	Young Boys	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.4	8
4	Lugano	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.5	6
5	Luzern	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.6	5
6	Yverdon	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.7	5
7	Grasshoppers	5	1	1	3	-1	+0.6	4
8	Lausanne	6	1	1	4	-3	+0.1	4
9	Winterthur	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.0	4
10	St. Gallen	5	0	3	2	-2	+2.0	3
11	Lausanne Ouchy	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.3	3
12	Basel	4	0	0	4	-7	-0.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.