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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Lechner
Magdeburg
U S T U T
1–1
Full-time
Karlsruhe
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,9
3,4
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 2
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
4 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 7. · Karlsruhe 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kaiserslautern 9 5 2 2 +4 17
2 St Pauli 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Hamburg 8 5 1 2 +7 16
4 Hannover 9 4 3 2 +9 15
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 4 3 2 +8 15
6 Holstein Kiel 8 5 0 3 +0 15
7 Magdeburg 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Nurnberg 8 3 3 2 -1 12
9 Hansa Rostock 8 4 0 4 -2 12
10 Paderborn 8 3 2 3 -3 11
11 Elversberg 8 3 2 3 -3 11
12 Hertha 8 3 0 5 +1 9
13 Greuther Furth 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Karlsruhe 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Wehen 8 2 2 4 -4 8
16 Schalke 04 8 2 1 5 -5 7
17 Osnabruck 9 1 3 5 -10 6
18 Braunschweig 8 1 2 5 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Karlsruhe
11′
F. Schleusener 0–1
Jan Luca Schuler 🟨
26′
Ahmet Arslan 🟨
28′
36′
🟨 Marcel Franke
38′
🟨 Marvin Wanitzek
Cristiano Piccini 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
L. Castaignos 🔁
↦ J. Çeka
46′
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ L. Schuler
46′
T. Ito 🔁
↦ A. Condé
46′
46′
🔁 M. Thiede
↦ S. Jung
46′
🔁 L. Jensen
↦ D. Brosinski
1–1 L. Castaignos
A. Arslan
49′
65′
🔁 I. Matanović
↦ L. Stindl
A. Nollenberger 🔁
↦ A. Arslan
79′
86′
🔁 B. Zivzivadze
↦ F. Schleusener
94′
🔁 D. Herold
↦ P. Nebel
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-2-1
1 D. Reimann G
2 C. Piccini D
6 Daniel Elfadli D
15 D. Heber D
7 H. Bockhorn M
29 A. Condé M
25 S. Gnaka M
19 L. Bell Bell M
10 J. Çeka F
8 A. Arslan F
26 L. Schuler F
Bench (9)
9 L. Castaignos
13 C. Krempicki
37 T. Ito
17 A. Nollenberger
3 A. Hoti
4 E. Džogović
30 N. Kruth
20 X. Amaechi
5 J. Lawrence

Coach: C. Titz

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
23 P. Drewes G
2 S. Jung D
32 R. Bormuth D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
18 D. Brosinski M
10 M. Wanitzek M
8 J. Gondorf M
26 P. Nebel M
13 L. Stindl F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
21 M. Thiede
6 L. Jensen
9 I. Matanović
11 B. Zivzivadze
20 D. Herold
15 D. Burnić
4 M. Beifus
29 M. Weiß
37 L. Dettling

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,82
B
2,80
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.