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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

St Pauli

S U U U S

3–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

3 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 6. · Schalke 04 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Hamburg	7	4	1	2	+6	13
3	Magdeburg	7	3	3	1	+4	12
4	Holstein Kiel	6	4	0	2	-1	12
5	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+9	11
6	St Pauli	6	2	4	0	+5	10
7	Kaiserslautern	6	3	1	2	+0	10
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
9	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-1	9
10	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	-2	9
11	Karlsruhe	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Greuther Furth	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Wehen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	-5	8
15	Schalke 04	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Hertha	6	2	0	4	+1	6
17	Braunschweig	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Osnabruck	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Greuther Furth	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Magdeburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Hertha	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+4	5
11	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Braunschweig	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Wehen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
15	Hannover	3	1	1	1	+6	4
16	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Osnabruck	4	1	0	3	-2	3
18	Elversberg	3	1	0	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Magdeburg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
6	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Hamburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Kaiserslautern	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Wehen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Karlsruhe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Schalke 04	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Osnabruck	3	0	1	2	-8	1
17	Hertha	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Braunschweig	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.