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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S U S T S

3–1

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. · Karlsruhe 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Hansa Rostock	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Wehen	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Nurnberg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	St Pauli	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Kaiserslautern	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Hannover	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Greuther Furth	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Hertha	4	1	0	3	+0	3
15	Schalke 04	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Braunschweig	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Osnabruck	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Elversberg	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wehen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Braunschweig	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	St Pauli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Osnabruck	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Elversberg	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Magdeburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	St Pauli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hansa Rostock	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Wehen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Elversberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Greuther Furth	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.