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Eliteserien
Referee: E Eskås
Viking
U S S T U
3–4
Full-time
Tromso
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 65%
67%
63%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
54%
58%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,32 xG 1,15
54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viking 2. · Tromso 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 25 18 4 3 +33 +17.1 58
2 Viking 24 16 4 4 +17 +3.3 52
3 Brann 25 16 3 6 +18 +1.0 51
4 Tromso 24 15 3 6 +10 +8.9 48
5 Molde 25 13 5 7 +25 +12.8 44
6 Lillestrom 25 12 3 10 +6 +6.9 39
7 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 4 10 +7 +2.8 37
8 Odd 25 8 7 10 -5 -5.6 31
9 Stromsgodset 25 9 3 13 -4 -3.9 30
10 Rosenborg 25 8 6 11 -9 -3.6 30
11 Haugesund 25 7 6 12 -10 -4.3 27
12 Ham-Kam 25 8 3 14 -20 -12.0 27
13 Valerenga 25 6 6 13 -10 -4.9 24
14 Stabaek 25 6 6 13 -12 -4.1 24
15 Sandefjord 25 5 6 14 -12 -13.0 21
16 Aalesund 25 5 3 17 -34 -1.5 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viking Tromso
Samuel Adegbenro 🟨
34′
42′
🟨 Vegard Erlien
44′
🟨 Ruben Jenssen
Half-time 0–1
48′
V. Erlien 0–1
51′
V. Erlien 0–2
N. Vesterlund
62′
🔁 L. Nordås
↦ M. Traoré
1–2 P. Yazbek
H. Tangen
63′
S. Svendsen 🔁
↦ S. Adegbenro
68′
H. Haugen 🔁
↦ S. Bjørshol
68′
69′
🔁 J. Hjertø-Dahl
↦ J. Romsaas
J. Bell 🔁
↦ P. Yazbek
78′
Y. de Lanlay 🔁
↦ H. Tangen
78′
S. Auklend 🔁
↦ M. Solbakken
78′
2–2 S. Auklend
S. Svendsen
79′
81′
🟨 Jostein Gundersen
Herman Johan Haugen 🟨
83′
3–2 L. Salvesen
Z. Tripić
84′
86′
🔁 F. Winther
↦ S. Opsahl
86′
🔁 Y. Paintsil
↦ E. Diouf
89′
N. Vesterlund 3–3
L. Nordås
94′
Y. Paintsil 3–4
L. Nordås
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Viking

4-3-3
30 P. Gunnarsson G
18 S. Bjørshol D
5 D. Diop D
22 S. Langås D
20 S. Pattynama D
14 P. Yazbek M
8 M. Solbakken M
21 H. Tangen M
27 S. Adegbenro F
9 L. Salvesen F
10 Z. Tripić F
Bench (9)
29 S. Svendsen
2 H. Haugen
25 J. Bell
11 Y. de Lanlay
19 S. Auklend
16 K. Løkberg
3 V. Vevatne
23 J. Urbančič
1 A. Østbø

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Tromso

5-3-2
1 J. Haugaard G
19 N. Vesterlund D
4 J. Gundersen D
5 A. Jenssen D
8 K. Antonsen D
26 E. Diouf D
22 S. Opsahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
10 J. Romsaas M
15 V. Erlien F
29 M. Traoré F
Bench (8)
18 L. Nordås
27 J. Hjertø-Dahl
7 F. Winther
17 Y. Paintsil
23 R. Norheim
20 D. Gaye
30 I. Vådebu
12 S. Thomas

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.