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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Musial
Gornik Zabrze
S T S T U
2–1
Full-time
Rakow
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 44%
18%
70%
Points per game
0,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
18%
70%
Both score Ø 48%
45%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,4
Scored
0,6
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,78 xG 1,10
30% Possession 70%
9 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 15. · Rakow 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 12 8 2 2 +12 +4.1 26
2 Jagiellonia 11 8 1 2 +12 +6.6 25
3 Lech Poznan 11 7 2 2 +7 -1.6 23
4 Rakow 10 7 1 2 +10 +5.3 22
5 Legia 11 6 2 3 +4 -0.1 20
6 Zaglebie 12 6 2 4 -1 -1.6 20
7 Pogon Szczecin 12 6 1 5 +9 +5.9 19
8 Radomiak Radom 12 4 3 5 -1 +1.2 15
9 Piast Gliwice 12 2 8 2 +0 +9.5 14
10 Widzew Lodz 11 4 2 5 -2 -3.3 14
11 Cracovia 11 3 5 3 -4 -0.2 14
12 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 +0 -4.0 12
13 Korona Kielce 11 2 5 4 -2 -2.7 11
14 Warta Poznan 11 2 4 5 -2 -0.0 10
15 Gornik Zabrze 11 2 4 5 -8 -8.7 10
16 Puszcza 12 2 4 6 -10 -6.4 10
17 Ruch Chorzow 11 1 4 6 -9 -3.1 7
18 LKS Lodz 12 2 1 9 -15 -1.0 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Rakow
1–0 D. Yokota
10′
2–0 D. Yokota
E. Janža
22′
M. Sipľak 🔁
↦ E. Janža
34′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Drachal
↦ K. Pestka
46′
🔁 Z. Arsenić
↦ M. Rundić
55′
🟨 Adnan Kovačević
59′
🟨 Vladyslav Kochergin
62′
🔁 Jean Carlos
↦ B. Racovițan
62′
🔁 J. Yeboah
↦ S. Kittel
Michal Siplak 🟨
63′
69′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ A. Kovačević
Dani Pacheco 🟨
70′
S. Musiolik 🔁
↦ P. Krawczyk
73′
82′
A. Crnac 2–1
J. Yeboah
86′
🟨 Fran Tudor
R. Dadok 🔁
↦ S. Czyż
86′
A. Kaprálik 🔁
↦ K. Lukoszek
87′
Rafał Janicki 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

4-2-3-1
1 D. Bielica G
2 B. Sekulić D
5 K. Szcześniak D
26 R. Janicki D
64 E. Janža D
6 D. Rasak M
8 Dani Pacheco M
18 D. Yokota M
55 S. Czyż M
17 K. Lukoszek M
21 P. Krawczyk F
Bench (9)
25 M. Sipľak
9 S. Musiolik
96 R. Dadok
7 A. Kaprálik
32 M. Szromnik
11 L. Ennali
13 K. Triantafyllópoulos
20 M. Chmarek
16 P. Olkowski

Coach: J. Urban

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
15 A. Kovačević D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
30 V. Kochergin M
33 K. Pestka M
93 S. Kittel F
19 A. Crnac F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
21 D. Drachal
24 Z. Arsenić
20 Jean Carlos
11 J. Yeboah
8 B. Lederman
5 G. Berggren
99 F. Piasecki
77 M. Cebula
12 A. Tsiftsis

Coach: D. Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Musial · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.