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Super League

Referee: A Sidiropoulos

Asteras Tripolis

T U S T U

0–3

Full-time

AEK

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Super League · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 41%

25%

57%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

88%

57%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

71%

Average goals

3,5

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%

5 Shots 20

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

6 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 10. · AEK 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+23	22
2	Panathinaikos	7	5	1	1	+16	16
3	PAOK	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	OFI Crete	8	4	3	1	+2	15
5	Lamia	9	4	3	2	-2	15
6	AEK	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Aris Thessalonikis	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Aris	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Panserraikos	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Asteras Tripolis	8	2	2	4	-4	8
11	Kifisia	8	1	4	3	-7	7
12	Panetolikos	9	1	3	5	-13	6
13	Giannina	8	1	2	5	-5	5
14	Atromitos	7	0	3	4	-11	3
15	Volos NFC	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+20	18
2	OFI Crete	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Lamia	5	4	1	0	+4	13
4	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Aris Thessalonikis	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Aris	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	AEK	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Panathinaikos	4	2	1	1	+7	7
9	Panserraikos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Kifisia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Panetolikos	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Giannina	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Atromitos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Volos NFC	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	AEK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	PAOK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
6	Giannina	4	0	2	2	-2	2
7	OFI Crete	3	0	2	1	-3	2
8	Panserraikos	5	0	2	3	-4	2
9	Lamia	4	0	2	2	-6	2
10	Kifisia	5	0	2	3	-8	2
11	Aris Thessalonikis	4	0	1	3	-5	1
12	Aris	4	0	1	3	-5	1
13	Volos NFC	4	0	1	3	-8	1
14	Panetolikos	5	0	1	4	-10	1
15	Atromitos	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.