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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
Viborg
U T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Nordsjaelland
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viborg Nordsjaelland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,67 xG 1,23
38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Viborg 9. · Nordsjaelland 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 12 8 2 2 +9 +5.3 26
2 Silkeborg 12 8 1 3 +13 +8.2 25
3 Brondby 11 8 0 3 +11 +2.6 24
4 Nordsjaelland 11 5 4 2 +12 +6.1 19
5 Midtjylland 11 5 3 3 +0 +1.7 18
6 Aarhus 12 4 5 3 +0 +5.2 17
7 Lyngby 12 4 3 5 -6 -3.9 15
8 Randers FC 11 3 4 4 -9 -2.7 13
9 Viborg 11 3 3 5 -6 +0.1 12
10 Odense 11 3 2 6 -2 -4.5 11
11 Vejle 12 2 2 8 -5 -11.4 8
12 Hvidovre IF 12 0 3 9 -17 -6.7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Viborg Nordsjaelland
39′
🟨 Jeppe Tverskov
Anosike Ementa 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
J. Bonde 🔁
↦ J. Jacobs
46′
65′
J. Mbom 1–0
own goal
A. Jatta 🔁
↦ A. Ementa
69′
Serginho 🔁
↦ Renato Júnior
69′
71′
🔁 B. Nygren
↦ A. Schjelderup
78′
🔁 C. Rasmussen
↦ I. Osman
83′
M. Ingvartsen 1–1
J. Vester 🔁
↦ Ž. Zaletel
85′
N. Thomas 🔁
↦ I. Jensen
85′
87′
🔁 R. Ascone
↦ M. Ingvartsen
87′
🔁 L. Hey
↦ M. Dorgeles
Serginho 🟨
94′
96′
🟨 Martin Frese
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Viborg

4-3-3
1 L. Lund G
30 S. Kuzmić D
4 N. Bürgy D
5 Ž. Zaletel D
23 O. Bundgaard D
10 J. Jacobs M
13 J. Grønning M
18 J. Mbom M
15 I. Jensen F
14 A. Ementa F
11 Renato Júnior F
Bench (9)
17 J. Bonde
12 A. Jatta
7 Serginho
37 J. Vester
9 N. Thomas
27 M. Agnarsson
20 K. Kiilerich
31 F. Damkjer
25 A. Zulić

Coach: J. Friis

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
27 D. Svensson M
6 J. Tverskov M
29 M. Dorgeles M
7 M. Ingvartsen F
14 I. Osman F
8 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
9 B. Nygren
17 C. Rasmussen
12 R. Ascone
19 L. Hey
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
21 Z. Sertdemir
15 E. Marxen
42 K. Barslund
25 C. Eriksson

Coach: J. Thorup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.