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2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04

S U T S S

1–2

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 8

10 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 7. · Karlsruhe 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Paderborn	6	3	2	1	+7	11
3	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Dresden	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	St Pauli	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Nurnberg	6	2	4	0	+3	10
7	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	3	1	+4	9
9	Hamburg	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Darmstadt	6	2	1	3	+3	7
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-7	7
15	Holstein Kiel	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Sandhausen	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Ingolstadt	6	1	1	4	-10	4
18	Erzgebirge Aue	6	0	3	3	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Regensburg	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Dresden	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Heidenheim	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Hannover	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Hamburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Hansa Rostock	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Holstein Kiel	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Ingolstadt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Werder Bremen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Dresden	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Hansa Rostock	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nurnberg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Sandhausen	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Ingolstadt	3	1	0	2	-6	3
14	Holstein Kiel	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Darmstadt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.