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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

Nurnberg

T U U S T

3–1

Full-time

Hertha

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,8

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

67%

78%

Both score Ø 61%

78%

44%

Average goals

3,4

3,8

Scored

1,4

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Hertha 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+12	20
2	Hamburg	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Hannover	10	5	3	2	+10	18
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	5	3	2	+9	18
5	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Holstein Kiel	9	5	1	3	+0	16
7	Elversberg	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Paderborn	10	4	3	3	-1	15
9	Magdeburg	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Hertha	9	4	0	5	+2	12
11	Wehen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hansa Rostock	9	4	0	5	-3	12
14	Nurnberg	9	3	3	3	-5	12
15	Karlsruhe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Schalke 04	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Osnabruck	10	1	3	6	-12	6
18	Braunschweig	10	1	2	7	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Kaiserslautern	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	St Pauli	5	3	2	0	+10	11
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
6	Greuther Furth	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Magdeburg	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Paderborn	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Nurnberg	4	2	2	0	+2	8
11	Holstein Kiel	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Elversberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+6	6
14	Schalke 04	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Wehen	5	1	3	1	-1	6
16	Karlsruhe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Braunschweig	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Osnabruck	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	5	2	3	0	+2	9
2	Holstein Kiel	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Elversberg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+6	7
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Wehen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Kaiserslautern	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Karlsruhe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Nurnberg	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Hansa Rostock	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Osnabruck	4	0	2	2	-8	2
17	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-7	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.