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Taça de Portugal

Referee: António Nobre

Sintrense

S T S S

0–5

Full-time

Estoril

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sintrense Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 38%

75%

Points per game

2,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+14	6
3	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Felgueiras 1932	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	CD Olivais e Moscavide	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
13	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
14	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	AD Marco 09	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Leixoes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
22	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
23	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
24	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
28	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
29	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Vila Meã	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
47	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
62	Academico Viseu	2	1	0	1	-1	3
63	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
64	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
67	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
71	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
72	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
73	Atlético Malveira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
74	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
75	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
85	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
86	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
87	SC Covilha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
88	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
89	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
124	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
125	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
126	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
129	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
130	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
131	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
132	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
133	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
134	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
135	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
136	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
137	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
138	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paredes	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
6	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
7	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
8	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
9	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Vilar de Perdizes	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Rabo Peixe	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
30	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
32	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Leixoes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Atlético CP	2	0	1	1	-1	1
41	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Academico Viseu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
78	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
79	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	União de Leiria	2	2	0	0	+14	6
2	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	AD Marco 09	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
12	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Estrela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Mirandela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
49	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
85	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
86	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
87	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.