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Super League

Referee: F Maresca

Olympiakos

S S S S U

0–3

Full-time

Panathinaikos

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

3,2

Scored

3,2

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,5

This season — Super League · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 80%

88%

71%

Points per game

2,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 81%

75%

86%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

43%

Average goals

3,6

3,7

Scored

3,3

3,0

Conceded

0,4

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,9

+2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

52% Possession 48%

6 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	8	7	1	0	+23	22
2	PAOK	9	5	3	1	+10	18
3	AEK	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Panathinaikos	7	5	1	1	+16	16
5	OFI Crete	9	4	4	1	+2	16
6	Lamia	9	4	3	2	-2	15
7	Aris Thessalonikis	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Aris	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Panserraikos	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Asteras Tripolis	9	2	2	5	-7	8
11	Kifisia	9	1	5	3	-7	8
12	Panetolikos	9	1	3	5	-13	6
13	Giannina	8	1	2	5	-5	5
14	Atromitos	8	0	3	5	-13	3
15	Volos NFC	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+20	18
2	PAOK	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	OFI Crete	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Lamia	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Aris Thessalonikis	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Aris	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	AEK	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Panathinaikos	4	2	1	1	+7	7
9	Panserraikos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Kifisia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Panetolikos	4	1	2	1	-3	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Giannina	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Atromitos	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Volos NFC	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	AEK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	PAOK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
6	OFI Crete	4	0	3	1	-3	3
7	Giannina	4	0	2	2	-2	2
8	Panserraikos	5	0	2	3	-4	2
9	Lamia	4	0	2	2	-6	2
10	Kifisia	5	0	2	3	-8	2
11	Aris Thessalonikis	4	0	1	3	-5	1
12	Aris	4	0	1	3	-5	1
13	Volos NFC	4	0	1	3	-8	1
14	Panetolikos	5	0	1	4	-10	1
15	Atromitos	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.