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2. Bundesliga

Referee: A Aarnink

Paderborn

T S S S U

1–2

Full-time

St Pauli

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

55%

36%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 4. · St Pauli 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	22	14	7	1	+20	49
2	Hamburg	22	14	3	5	+15	45
3	Heidenheim	22	12	7	3	+19	43
4	Paderborn	22	12	3	7	+19	39
5	Kaiserslautern	22	10	8	4	+9	38
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	11	2	9	+7	35
7	St Pauli	22	8	8	6	+4	32
8	Holstein Kiel	22	8	8	6	+2	32
9	Hannover	22	8	5	9	+1	29
10	Karlsruhe	22	8	4	10	+0	28
11	Greuther Furth	22	6	8	8	-6	26
12	Nurnberg	22	7	4	11	-14	25
13	Hansa Rostock	22	7	3	12	-11	24
14	Magdeburg	22	7	3	12	-13	24
15	Braunschweig	22	5	6	11	-12	21
16	Bielefeld	22	6	2	14	-7	20
17	Regensburg	22	5	5	12	-16	20
18	Sandhausen	22	5	4	13	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	11	8	3	0	+18	27
2	Darmstadt	12	7	5	0	+12	26
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	8	1	2	+14	25
4	Paderborn	11	8	0	3	+19	24
5	St Pauli	11	6	5	0	+11	23
6	Hamburg	11	7	1	3	+8	22
7	Greuther Furth	11	5	5	1	+3	20
8	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+3	19
9	Hannover	11	5	2	4	+2	17
10	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+0	17
11	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	+4	16
12	Nurnberg	11	5	1	5	-2	16
13	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	+0	14
14	Regensburg	11	3	5	3	-6	14
15	Bielefeld	11	4	0	7	-1	12
16	Sandhausen	10	3	2	5	-7	11
17	Hansa Rostock	11	3	1	7	-6	10
18	Magdeburg	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	10	7	2	1	+8	23
2	Hamburg	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	+1	16
5	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
6	Magdeburg	12	5	1	6	-5	16
7	Paderborn	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Hansa Rostock	11	4	2	5	-5	14
9	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	+0	11
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	1	7	-7	10
12	St Pauli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
13	Nurnberg	11	2	3	6	-12	9
14	Bielefeld	11	2	2	7	-6	8
15	Sandhausen	12	2	2	8	-10	8
16	Braunschweig	11	1	4	6	-12	7
17	Greuther Furth	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Regensburg	11	2	0	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.