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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Paderborn
U S S T T
2–1
Full-time
Wehen
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Wehen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
80%
20%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 16. · Wehen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Holstein Kiel 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +5 11
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Hansa Rostock 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Kaiserslautern 5 3 0 2 +0 9
7 Hannover 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Wehen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 St Pauli 5 1 4 0 +1 7
10 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Nurnberg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Greuther Furth 5 1 1 3 -3 4
14 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Elversberg 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Paderborn 5 1 1 3 -6 4
17 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -2 3
18 Osnabruck 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Wehen
22′
K. Froese 0–1
T. Goppel
25′
ℹ️ Kianz Froese
VAR: Goal confirmed
Jannis Heuer 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Ivan Prtajin
1–1 S. Klaas
F. Platte
51′
2–1 N. Nadj
S. Klaas
60′
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ S. Klaas
63′
K. Ezekwem 🔁
↦ L. Curda
63′
64′
🔁 N. Bätzner
↦ Lee Hyun-Ju
64′
🔁 A. Ćatić
↦ S. Mockenhaupt
S. Conteh 🔁
↦ F. Platte
70′
73′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
77′
🔁 A. Jonjić
↦ K. Froese
77′
🔁 J. Kade
↦ G. Fechner
Adriano Grimaldi 🟨
80′
K. Klefisch 🔁
↦ N. Nadj
80′
D. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ F. Muslija
81′
86′
🔁 J. Iredale
↦ F. Carstens
David Kinsombi 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paderborn

5-3-2
21 J. Huth G
17 L. Curda D
24 J. Heuer D
16 V. Musliu D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
23 R. Obermair D
26 S. Klaas M
22 M. Hansen M
30 F. Muslija M
36 F. Platte F
40 N. Nadj F
Bench (9)
39 A. Grimaldi
19 K. Ezekwem
11 S. Conteh
27 K. Klefisch
8 D. Kinsombi
6 M. Schuster
15 T. Müller
1 P. Boevink
29 I. Ansah

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Wehen

3-4-1-2
16 F. Stritzel G
2 M. Angha D
24 M. Mathisen D
17 F. Carstens D
4 S. Mockenhaupt M
7 R. Heußer M
6 G. Fechner M
9 T. Goppel M
20 Lee Hyun-Ju F
18 I. Prtajin F
30 K. Froese F
Bench (9)
8 N. Bätzner
34 A. Ćatić
10 A. Jonjić
21 J. Kade
33 J. Iredale
19 B. Jacobsen
26 A. Vukotić
15 M. Reinthaler
1 A. Lyska

Coach: M. Kauczinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
4,03
B
4,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.