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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Lillestrom

T T S U T

3–0

Full-time

Rosenborg

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 42%

48%

36%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 66%

76%

55%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,90 xG 0,63

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lillestrom 7. · Rosenborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	21	15	3	3	+20	+5.4	48
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	14	4	3	+26	+10.9	46
3	Tromso	21	14	3	4	+11	+4.1	45
4	Molde	21	12	4	5	+24	+13.0	40
5	Brann	21	12	3	6	+13	+0.9	39
6	Sarpsborg 08	22	10	3	9	+5	+0.9	33
7	Lillestrom	21	10	3	8	+4	+5.3	33
8	Rosenborg	22	8	5	9	-3	+1.7	29
9	Odd	22	8	5	9	-3	-1.4	29
10	Stromsgodset	21	8	2	11	-3	-3.2	26
11	Ham-Kam	21	7	2	12	-15	-10.2	23
12	Valerenga	21	5	6	10	-6	-4.6	21
13	Sandefjord	21	5	6	10	-8	-10.7	21
14	Haugesund	22	5	5	12	-14	-7.4	20
15	Stabaek	21	4	5	12	-15	-3.6	17
16	Aalesund	23	3	3	17	-36	-1.1	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	11	8	2	1	+15	+1.9	26
2	Viking	11	8	2	1	+14	+2.9	26
3	Tromso	12	8	2	2	+9	+6.9	26
4	Molde	10	7	2	1	+18	+7.2	23
5	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
6	Rosenborg	12	6	2	4	+4	+3.8	20
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	1	4	+9	-0.9	19
8	Lillestrom	10	6	0	4	+7	+3.3	18
9	Odd	10	5	2	3	+3	+1.9	17
10	Ham-Kam	11	5	2	4	+1	-6.2	17
11	Sandefjord	10	4	4	2	+9	-5.6	16
12	Stromsgodset	10	5	0	5	+2	-0.7	15
13	Haugesund	11	4	2	5	-3	-5.4	14
14	Stabaek	10	3	3	4	+1	-2.4	12
15	Aalesund	12	3	3	6	-8	+4.6	12
16	Valerenga	11	2	2	7	-7	-0.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	2	2	+13	+8.5	26
2	Viking	10	7	1	2	+6	+2.5	22
3	Tromso	9	6	1	2	+2	-2.8	19
4	Molde	11	5	2	4	+6	+5.8	17
5	Lillestrom	11	4	3	4	-3	+2.0	15
6	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	2	5	-4	+1.7	14
7	Valerenga	10	3	4	3	+1	-4.1	13
8	Brann	10	4	1	5	-2	-1.1	13
9	Odd	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.3	12
10	Stromsgodset	11	3	2	6	-5	-2.5	11
11	Rosenborg	10	2	3	5	-7	-2.1	9
12	Haugesund	11	1	3	7	-11	-2.0	6
13	Ham-Kam	10	2	0	8	-16	-4.0	6
14	Stabaek	11	1	2	8	-16	-1.2	5
15	Sandefjord	11	1	2	8	-17	-5.1	5
16	Aalesund	11	0	0	11	-28	-5.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.