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Eliteserien
Referee: R Saggi
Rosenborg
S S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
59%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
73%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
68%
55%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
6 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 4. · Lillestrom 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 22 17 3 2 +30 54
2 Lillestrom 22 13 5 4 +18 44
3 Bodo/Glimt 22 12 5 5 +26 41
4 Rosenborg 22 11 7 4 +16 40
5 Valerenga 22 11 3 8 +6 36
6 Odd 23 10 3 10 -8 33
7 Viking 22 9 5 8 +3 32
8 Tromso 22 7 9 6 -5 30
9 Stromsgodset 22 8 5 9 +1 29
10 Haugesund 22 8 4 10 -1 28
11 Sarpsborg 08 22 8 1 13 -4 25
12 Aalesund 22 6 7 9 -10 25
13 Ham-Kam 23 4 11 8 -4 23
14 Sandefjord 22 6 4 12 -15 22
15 Kristiansund 22 4 4 14 -18 16
16 Jerv 22 4 2 16 -35 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jun -22 Lillestrom – Rosenborg 3–1 30. Oct -21 Rosenborg – Lillestrom 1–3 25. Jun -21 Lillestrom – Rosenborg 2–0 14. Sep -19 Rosenborg – Lillestrom 3–1 11. May -19 Lillestrom – Rosenborg 1–1

Match report

Rosenborg Lillestrom
1–0 C. Tengstedt ⚽
C. Holse
6′
Renzo Giampaoli 🟨
9′
2–0 O. Sæter ⚽
C. Holse
11′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Kairinen
↦ C. Rösler
Tobias Borkeeiet 🟨
48′
49′
⚽ T. Olsen 2–1
Y. Ibrahimaj
3–1 O. Sæter ⚽
E. Tagseth
51′
67′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ Y. Ibrahimaj
73′
🔁 A. Şimşir
↦ L. Ranger
Casper Tengstedt 🟨
76′
P. Skjelbred 🔁
↦ C. Tengstedt
77′
V. Jensen 🔁
↦ O. Sæter
82′
88′
🟨 Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson
Erlend Dahl Reitan 🟨
89′
H. Røsten 🔁
↦ L. Cornic
94′
M. Holte 🔁
↦ C. Holse
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

3-5-2
1 A. Hansen G
2 E. Reitan D
32 L. Cornic M
18 R. Giampaoli D
7 M. Henriksen D
21 O. Skarsem M
8 T. Børkeeiet M
20 E. Tagseth M
10 C. Holse M
17 C. Tengstedt F
27 O. Sæter F
Bench (7)
5 P. Skjelbred
11 V. Jensen
16 H. Røsten
44 M. Holte
24 S. Tangvik
39 M. Broholm
19 A. Pereira

Coach: K. Rekdal

Lillestrom

3-5-2
12 M. Hedenstad Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
3 C. Rösler D
2 L. Ranger M
30 I. Ogbu D
23 G. Åsen M
8 I. Mathew M
14 M. Knudsen M
10 T. Olsen F
20 Y. Ibrahimaj F
Bench (9)
6 K. Kairinen
21 H. Friðjónsson
58 A. Şimşir
33 H. Skogvold
16 M. Lundemo
7 P. Helland
1 K. Skjærstein
17 E. Solberg
27 I. Cisse

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.