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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Lillestrom
T S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Rosenborg
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 6/9 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
67%
78%
Both score Ø 73%
67%
78%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Rosenborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 10 7 2 1 +14 23
2 Bodo/Glimt 10 6 2 2 +12 20
3 Valerenga 10 4 4 2 +4 16
4 Kristiansund 9 5 1 3 -1 16
5 Viking 9 5 0 4 -2 15
6 Rosenborg 9 4 2 3 +6 14
7 Odd 8 3 3 2 +3 12
8 Haugesund 7 3 2 2 +3 11
9 Stromsgodset 8 3 2 3 -2 11
10 Lillestrom 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 Sarpsborg 08 8 2 3 3 -2 9
12 Tromso 9 2 2 5 -7 8
13 Mjondalen 7 1 4 2 +0 7
14 Sandefjord 7 2 0 5 -7 6
15 Stabaek 7 1 2 4 -6 5
16 Brann 10 1 1 8 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Rosenborg
1–0 P. Helland
G. Åsen
12′
D. Gustafsson 🔁
↦ P. Helland
20′
31′
🔁 E. Tagseth
↦ P. Skjelbred
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Edvard Sandvik Tagseth
54′
🟨 Erlend Dahl Reitan
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ P. Slørdahl
60′
61′
🔁 J. Augustinsson
↦ E. Reitan
61′
🔁 D. Islamović
↦ G. Molins
72′
🟨 Vebjørn Hoff
73′
🔁 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
↦ V. Hoff
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
84′
2–0 G. Åsen
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

3-4-3
12 M. Christiansen G
4 E. Garnås D
5 V. Dragsnes M
30 I. Ogbu D
22 P. Slørdahl D
23 G. Åsen F
6 K. Kairinen M
8 I. Mathew M
25 E. Edh M
7 P. Helland F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (9)
90 D. Gustafsson
18 U. Mathisen
14 F. Krogstad
40 J. Sveinhaug
17 J. Braut-Brunes
31 M. Bergum
11 T. Svendsen
19 U. Seferi
15 J. Baccay

Coach: G. Bakke

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 A. Hansen G
15 H. Eyjólfsson D
16 E. Hovland D
25 A. Andersson D
2 E. Reitan D
6 A. Tettey M
5 P. Skjelbred M
4 V. Hoff M
18 K. Zachariassen F
10 G. Molins F
11 C. Holse F
Bench (8)
20 E. Tagseth
3 J. Augustinsson
9 D. Islamović
14 R. Wiedesheim-Paul
35 E. Ceïde
8 A. Konradsen
26 B. Šerbečić
24 S. Tangvik

Coach: Å. Hareide

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.