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Eliteserien

Referee: E Eskås

Lillestrom

U S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Rosenborg

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+1,7

This season — Eliteserien · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 52%

70%

33%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

44%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,1

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 1. · Rosenborg 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	10	7	3	0	+14	24
2	Molde	10	7	1	2	+10	22
3	Viking	11	6	3	2	+10	21
4	Stromsgodset	11	5	2	4	-3	17
5	Sarpsborg 08	10	5	1	4	+10	16
6	Bodo/Glimt	10	4	4	2	+6	16
7	Aalesund	10	4	3	3	-1	15
8	Rosenborg	9	3	5	1	+5	14
9	Odd	10	4	0	6	-6	12
10	Tromso	9	2	5	2	-3	11
11	Valerenga	10	3	1	6	-9	10
12	Ham-Kam	9	1	6	2	+1	9
13	Sandefjord	8	3	0	5	-4	9
14	Haugesund	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Jerv	9	2	1	6	-13	7
16	Kristiansund	8	0	1	7	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Molde	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Stromsgodset	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Rosenborg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Tromso	5	2	2	1	-1	8
7	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	4	0	+4	7
8	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	+2	7
9	Aalesund	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Jerv	5	2	1	2	-4	7
12	Ham-Kam	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Haugesund	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Kristiansund	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	0	1	+8	9
3	Lillestrom	5	2	3	0	+4	9
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Sandefjord	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Aalesund	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Stromsgodset	6	2	2	2	-1	8
8	Viking	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Rosenborg	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
11	Haugesund	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Ham-Kam	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Tromso	4	0	3	1	-2	3
14	Valerenga	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Kristiansund	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Jerv	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.