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Taça de Portugal

Castrense

T S

0–3

Full-time

Vila Meã

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castrense Vila Meã

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rebordosa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
3	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+10	3
4	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Alqueidão da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Peniche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
86	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
88	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
89	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
90	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
91	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
2	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	1	0	0	+10	3
3	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Valadares Gaia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Academica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Juventude Évora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Alqueidão da Serra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Lusitânia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Peniche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
27	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Oliveira Hospital	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Montalegre	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
46	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
47	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
48	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.