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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
AIK
S T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Djurgarden
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
26%
52%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
52%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,95 xG 0,07
45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AIK 13. · Djurgarden 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 24 16 4 4 +30 +6.9 52
2 Elfsborg 23 15 3 5 +25 +4.6 48
3 Hacken 23 15 2 6 +26 +1.4 47
4 Djurgarden 23 12 4 7 +7 +3.1 40
5 Norrkoping 24 10 5 9 +5 +4.5 35
6 Hammarby 23 10 5 8 +1 +2.3 35
7 Mjallby 23 10 4 9 +0 -5.2 34
8 Kalmar 23 9 6 8 -4 -3.4 33
9 Varnamo 23 10 2 11 +0 +1.4 32
10 Halmstad 23 8 5 10 -15 -2.9 29
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 3 13 -9 -1.7 27
12 Goteborg 23 6 8 9 -2 -1.9 26
13 AIK 23 6 7 10 -4 +1.3 25
14 Sirius 23 6 5 12 -1 +5.4 23
15 Degerfors 24 7 2 15 -28 -8.6 23
16 Varberg 23 3 5 15 -31 -7.5 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AIK Djurgarden
Half-time 1–0
1–0 I. Pittas
D. Beširović
52′
54′
🔁 B. Šabović
↦ H. Finndell
54′
🔁 O. Fallenius
↦ M. Qurbanlı
54′
🔁
↦ G. Wikheim
67′
🔁 Carlos Moros
↦ J. Une-Larsson
70′
🟨 Rasmus Schüller
73′
🟨 Carlos Moros Gracia
T. Ayari 🔁
↦ D. Beširović
76′
Kristoffer Nordfeldt 🟨
78′
81′
🟨 Magnus Eriksson
82′
🟨 Besard Sabović
84′
🔁 L. Bergvall
↦ H. Radetinac
A. Björnström 🔁
↦ B. Celina
88′
2–0 I. Pittas
Rui Modesto
90′
Ioannis Pittas 🟨
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AIK

4-4-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
5 A. Milošević D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
25 E. Otieno D
32 Rui Modesto M
18 A. Ali M
7 A. Salétros M
8 B. Celina M
19 D. Beširović F
28 I. Pittas F
Bench (9)
45 T. Ayari
12 A. Björnström
22 A. Keita
35 S. Brolin
10 J. Durmaz
9 O. Faraj
16 B. Hansen
6 J. Haliti
30 J. Kusi-Asare

Coach: H. Berg

Djurgarden

4-3-3
35 J. Widell Zetterström G
2 P. Johansson D
27 J. Une-Larsson D
3 M. Danielson D
26 S. Dahl D
13 H. Finndell M
6 R. Schüller M
7 M. Eriksson M
9 H. Radetinac F
22 M. Qurbanlı F
23 G. Wikheim F
Bench (9)
14 B. Šabović
15 O. Fallenius
18
17 Carlos Moros
21 L. Bergvall
16 R. Kaib
12 T. Bergvall
29 N. Milleskog
30 T. Vaiho

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.