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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Lillestrom

S S T S T

1–3

Full-time

Viking

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 62%

53%

71%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

3,5

3,7

Scored

1,9

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,39 xG 2,73

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 6. · Viking 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	18	13	2	3	+24	+6.8	41
2	Viking	17	12	2	3	+15	+1.2	38
3	Tromso	17	11	3	3	+11	+1.4	36
4	Molde	18	10	3	5	+20	+8.1	33
5	Brann	18	9	3	6	+7	-2.9	30
6	Lillestrom	17	9	2	6	+7	+5.6	29
7	Odd	18	7	4	7	+2	+1.7	25
8	Rosenborg	18	7	4	7	-2	+1.3	25
9	Sarpsborg 08	18	7	3	8	-3	+0.1	24
10	Stromsgodset	18	7	2	9	-1	-3.9	23
11	Haugesund	17	5	3	9	-9	-2.1	18
12	Sandefjord	17	4	5	8	-8	-9.9	17
13	Stabaek	17	4	4	9	-12	+0.8	16
14	Ham-Kam	17	5	1	11	-19	-5.5	16
15	Valerenga	16	4	2	10	-8	-2.7	14
16	Aalesund	17	3	1	13	-24	-0.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	7	1	1	+13	+0.5	22
2	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	2	1	+13	+2.4	20
3	Brann	9	6	2	1	+10	-0.5	20
4	Molde	8	6	1	1	+15	+4.5	19
5	Lillestrom	9	6	0	3	+9	+4.7	18
6	Tromso	9	5	2	2	+5	+3.1	17
7	Rosenborg	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.2	16
8	Odd	8	4	2	2	+5	+2.9	14
9	Haugesund	8	4	2	2	+2	-0.8	14
10	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	+3	-0.5	13
11	Ham-Kam	9	4	1	4	-2	-3.5	13
12	Sandefjord	8	3	3	2	+7	-5.4	12
13	Stromsgodset	8	4	0	4	+2	-1.1	12
14	Stabaek	9	3	3	3	+2	-1.1	12
15	Aalesund	9	3	1	5	-6	+1.7	10
16	Valerenga	8	1	0	7	-9	-0.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	7	0	2	+11	+4.4	21
2	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+6	-1.7	19
3	Viking	8	5	1	2	+2	+0.8	16
4	Molde	10	4	2	4	+5	+3.6	14
5	Valerenga	8	3	2	3	+1	-2.3	11
6	Lillestrom	8	3	2	3	-2	+0.9	11
7	Stromsgodset	10	3	2	5	-3	-2.7	11
8	Odd	10	3	2	5	-3	-1.2	11
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	2	4	-6	+0.5	11
10	Brann	9	3	1	5	-3	-2.3	10
11	Rosenborg	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.1	9
12	Sandefjord	9	1	2	6	-15	-4.5	5
13	Haugesund	9	1	1	7	-11	-1.3	4
14	Stabaek	8	1	1	6	-14	+1.9	4
15	Ham-Kam	8	1	0	7	-17	-2.0	3
16	Aalesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.